This perspective piece, a companion to the technology perspective last fall, analyzes the trends in the growing size of organisms getting their genomes re-engineered, and concludes that, while impressive, it's growing more slowly than one might think: big, complex organisms like mammals and plants are only likely to become tractable around 2050. Moreover, the complexity of the projects has been growing exponentially as well, as measured by the number of authors per paper.
The largest engineered genomes have grown exponentially, doubling approximately every 3 years (a), but the number of authors credited on projetcs has been growing exponentially as well (b). |
Bottom line: it's not going to be simple, but it looks quite tractable, and there are things that can be done right now that will likely have a significant impact on our ability to engineer ever-larger genomes.
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